ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 FC Gifu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.79/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.22
-38% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses 21.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Gifu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
26.08.2015 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP2
28.06.2015 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-1 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
17.08.2014 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1-1
AWAY FC Gifu
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
467 Passes 203
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs FC Gifu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ThespaKusatsu Gunma and FC Gifu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 66% of the ball to FC Gifu's 34%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Gifu led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 1.33 for FC Gifu.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs FC Gifu?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 FC Gifu in the Japan - J3 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs FC Gifu?

Before kick-off our model rated a ThespaKusatsu Gunma win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 38%, draw 26%, FC Gifu 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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