Cliftonville 1-1 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 28% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.91
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
22%
4.77
X/2
13%
7.16
X/X
11%
4.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
26.5
2/2
11%
5.45
2/X
9%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.03.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-2 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
09.11.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-4 HT 1-3 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
20.08.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
24.02.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
02.12.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-4 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
07.11.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KILK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cliftonville
1-1
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville and Dungannon Swifts shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cliftonville at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cliftonville had 66% of the ball to Dungannon Swifts's 34%, shots finished 18-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cliftonville and 1.33 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Dungannon Swifts?

Cliftonville 1-1 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Cup on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 43%, draw 27%, Dungannon Swifts 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cliftonville), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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