Ulytau 1-4 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.6pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.3pp
52%
Away Win
66%
-13.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulytau EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
182 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ulytau vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat ran out comfortable winners over Ulytau 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ulytau vs Kairat?

Ulytau 1-4 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulytau vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ulytau 20%, draw 28%, Kairat 52%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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