Zhenys 0-1 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhenys EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 43%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +19%
0.30/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.82
-71% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhenys
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Aktobe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
13.04.2025 Zhenys 1-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
04.08.2024 Zhenys 1-2 HT 1-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
31.03.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 3-0 HT 2-0 Zhenys KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhenys vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe squeezed past Zhenys 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Aktobe made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zhenys and 1.67 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Zhenys vs Aktobe?

Zhenys 0-1 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhenys vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhenys win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Zhenys 35%, draw 29%, Aktobe 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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