Zhenys 1-0 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
21%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
26%
+11.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
46%
-13.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhenys EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -61% / -61%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -64%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhenys
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Aktobe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
04.08.2024 Zhenys 1-2 HT 1-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
31.03.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 3-0 HT 2-0 Zhenys KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhenys vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhenys nicked a narrow win over Aktobe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Zhenys made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zhenys and 2.50 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Zhenys vs Aktobe?

Zhenys 1-0 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Cup on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhenys vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhenys win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zhenys 38%, draw 30%, Aktobe 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhenys), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zhenys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZKK More Kazakistan - Cup
13 Apr 2025
13:00 Okzhetpes vs FC Astana Analysis →
17:00 Tobol vs Zhetysu Analysis →