Tobol 1-0 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.68
Over 2.5
56%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.19
No
46%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
62%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+1.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
56%
-11.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
44%
+11.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.0pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.43/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.17
-19% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zhetysu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-3 HT 0-2 Tobol Tobol KAZP
04.05.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
24.09.2023 Tobol Tobol 1-2 HT 1-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
02.04.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-1 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
19.06.2021 Tobol Tobol 2-1 HT 1-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
10.04.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-2 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol squeezed past Zhetysu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tobol and 0.67 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Zhetysu?

Tobol 1-0 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Cup on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tobol 60%, draw 23%, Zhetysu 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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