Zhetysu 0-3 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 18 Aug 2024

Zhetysu
0-3 HT 0-2
Tobol
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2024

Zhetysu vs Tobol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.4pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.6pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zhetysu v Tobol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 43%
-16% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.17/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.34
+9% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.5

Zhetysu vs Tobol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhetysu
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tobol
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
24.09.2023 Tobol Tobol 1-2 HT 1-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
02.04.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-1 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
19.06.2021 Tobol Tobol 2-1 HT 1-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
10.04.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-2 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
02.10.2020 Tobol Tobol 2-0 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhetysu vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol ran out comfortable winners over Zhetysu 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (28% / 35% / 37%) promised a tight game; Tobol found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zhetysu and 1.50 for Tobol.

What was the final score of Zhetysu vs Tobol?

Zhetysu 0-3 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 28%, draw 35%, Tobol 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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