Aktobe 1-1 Kaisar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 18 Aug 2024

Aktobe
1-1 HT 1-0
Kaisar
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2024

Aktobe vs Kaisar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-11.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aktobe v Kaisar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaisar EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +23%
1.75/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.21
+12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Aktobe vs Kaisar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kaisar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
01.03.2024 Kaisar Kaisar 1-3 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
22.07.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
28.05.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 0-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
02.10.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 0-2 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
31.07.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 1-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
24.07.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 1-2 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZKK
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Kaisar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe and Kaisar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aktobe at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aktobe and 0.67 for Kaisar.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Kaisar?

Aktobe 1-1 Kaisar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Kaisar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 43%, draw 27%, Kaisar 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aktobe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aktobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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