Shakhter Karagandy 2-3 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.91
Over 2.5
38%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.9
No
62%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+14.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-14.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.2pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 62%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
0.88/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.76
+1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhter Karagandy
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
02.03.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 5-0 HT 3-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
22.10.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 HT 3-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
09.03.2023 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-4 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
14.10.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
14.05.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
14.08.2021 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 3-0 HT 3-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZKK
POST-MATCH Shakhter Karagandy vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent nicked a narrow win over Shakhter Karagandy 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shakhter Karagandy and 2.17 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Shakhter Karagandy vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Shakhter Karagandy 2-3 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhter Karagandy vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Shakhter Karagandy 24%, draw 28%, Ordabasy Shymkent 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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