ENPPI 0-1 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.7
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.28
Over 2.5
33%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.75
No
63%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.64
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
15%
8.89
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
33%
-4.1pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
75%
-7.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
25%
+7.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+5.3pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ENPPI EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
0.89/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.40
-14% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
18.9 Crosses 14.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ENPPI
3W-2D-1L
AWAY El Gounah
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.31 xG 0.85
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
223 Passes 268
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 1-0 HT 0-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
22.06.2024 ENPPI ENPPI 1-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
25.12.2023 El Gounah El Gounah 1-2 HT 0-1 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
13.07.2022 ENPPI ENPPI 2-2 HT 2-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
20.12.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-1 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
28.08.2021 ENPPI ENPPI 2-0 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ENPPI
0-1
AWAY El Gounah
0.62 xG 1.58
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
399 Passes 139
78% Pass Accuracy 55%
15 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ENPPI vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Gounah nicked a narrow win over ENPPI 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; El Gounah found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ENPPI had 67% of the ball to El Gounah's 33%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.62 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ENPPI had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ENPPI and 0.83 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of ENPPI vs El Gounah?

ENPPI 0-1 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ENPPI vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a ENPPI win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ENPPI 39%, draw 29%, El Gounah 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (ENPPI) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ENPPI) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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