Lilleström 3-0 Moss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.45
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
7.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Moss EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.35/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.60
-36% / +149% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Moss
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
15.06.2005 Lilleström Lilleström 3-3 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
3-0
AWAY Moss
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Moss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström swept aside Moss 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lilleström had 60% of the ball to Moss's 40%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Moss?

Lilleström 3-0 Moss in the Norway - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Moss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 56%, draw 23%, Moss 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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