Sogndal 1-0 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
32%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
60%
-15.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
18%
+13.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
2.45/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.86
+18% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Mjondalen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2024 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
06.04.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 3-1 HT 2-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
12.11.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 1-1 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
10.06.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
14.08.2022 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-4 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
27.06.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 1-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal squeezed past Mjondalen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sogndal as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sogndal and 0.33 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Mjondalen?

Sogndal 1-0 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 45%, draw 23%, Mjondalen 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sogndal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sogndal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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