Sogndal 3-1 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

Sogndal
3-1 HT 2-1
Mjondalen
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Sogndal vs Mjondalen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 27% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sogndal v Mjondalen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
2.04/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.74
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sogndal vs Mjondalen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mjondalen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.45 xG 1.93
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
345 Passes 265
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 1-1 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
10.06.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
14.08.2022 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-4 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
27.06.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 1-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
28.12.2020 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-2 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR
28.08.2018 Sogndal Sogndal 3-4 HT 2-3 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal got the better of Mjondalen 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sogndal as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sogndal and 1.33 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Mjondalen?

Sogndal 3-1 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 44%, draw 28%, Mjondalen 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sogndal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sogndal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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