Start 1-3 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

Start
1-3 HT 0-2
Aalesund
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Start vs Aalesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.12
6+ Goals
13%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 27% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Start v Aalesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Start EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +18%
1.61/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.26
+9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2

Start vs Aalesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Start
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Aalesund
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.00 xG 1.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
265 Passes 345
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.11.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 3-2 HT 0-1 Start Start NOR1
30.05.2021 Start Start 2-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
30.08.2020 Start Start 1-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
29.07.2020 Aalesund Aalesund 3-2 HT 1-2 Start Start NOR
26.10.2019 Aalesund Aalesund 2-1 HT 0-0 Start Start NOR1
30.03.2019 Start Start 0-1 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
POST-MATCH Start vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund saw off Start 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Aalesund found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalesund led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Start and 1.50 for Aalesund.

What was the final score of Start vs Aalesund?

Start 1-3 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Start vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Start 30%, draw 30%, Aalesund 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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