Raufoss 1-2 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
54%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.46
2-3 Goals
47%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
7%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+6.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
54%
Away Win
60%
-5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 64%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+16% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raufoss
1-2
AWAY Valerenga
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga nicked a narrow win over Raufoss 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Raufoss had 37% of the ball to Valerenga's 63%, shots finished 3-16.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Valerenga?

Raufoss 1-2 Valerenga in the Norway - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 23%, draw 23%, Valerenga 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5
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