Aalesund 3-1 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+11.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +35%
2.33/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.48
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +39%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Raufoss
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 0-2 HT 0-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
27.04.2024 Aalesund Aalesund 1-4 HT 1-2 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
28.08.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 4-2 HT 3-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
19.05.2021 Raufoss Raufoss 4-2 HT 2-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
06.10.2019 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 2-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
23.06.2019 Raufoss Raufoss 2-1 HT 1-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund beat Raufoss 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aalesund as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Aalesund and 2.17 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Raufoss?

Aalesund 3-1 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 51%, draw 21%, Raufoss 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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