Raufoss 0-2 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +28%
1.56/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.30
+4% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Aalesund
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
27.04.2024 Aalesund Aalesund 1-4 HT 1-2 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
28.08.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 4-2 HT 3-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
19.05.2021 Raufoss Raufoss 4-2 HT 2-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
06.10.2019 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 2-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
23.06.2019 Raufoss Raufoss 2-1 HT 1-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
12.09.2004 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raufoss
0-2
AWAY Aalesund
46% Ball Possession 54%
2 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund saw off Raufoss 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Aalesund made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Raufoss had 46% of the ball to Aalesund's 54%, shots finished 2-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Raufoss and 2.00 for Aalesund.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Aalesund?

Raufoss 0-2 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raufoss win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 39%, draw 23%, Aalesund 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Raufoss) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raufoss) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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