03/08/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Egersunds vs Sogndal Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.69
— our 29% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
27%
Draw
25%
33%
Away Win
28%
52%
Under 2.5
41%
48%
Over 2.5
59%
45%
BTTS Yes
62%
55%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Egersunds v Sogndal — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Egersunds
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sogndal
EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
-4%
2.00/1.34
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.31/1.68
+21%
/
+0%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-8%
/
-4%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
406 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
244 · 68%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.8
Egersunds vs Sogndal Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Egersunds
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Sogndal
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Egersunds vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sogndal beat Egersunds 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Egersunds at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Egersunds vs Sogndal?
Egersunds 0-2 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Sogndal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Egersunds win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 41%, draw 27%, Sogndal 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Egersunds) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Egersunds)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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3 Aug 2024