Moss 0-2 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
9%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.38/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.67
-7% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +100%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Valerenga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
09.06.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 5-1 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moss
0-2
AWAY Valerenga
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Moss vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga saw off Moss 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Valerenga made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Moss had 51% of the ball to Valerenga's 49%, shots finished 7-5.

What was the final score of Moss vs Valerenga?

Moss 0-2 Valerenga in the Norway - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Moss 35%, draw 25%, Valerenga 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR1 More Norway - 1st Division
3 Aug 2024
17:00 Levanger vs Bryne Analysis →
17:00 Sandnes Ulf vs Asane Analysis →
17:00 Start vs Mjondalen Analysis →
17:00 Egersunds vs Sogndal Analysis →
17:00 Raufoss vs Aalesund Analysis →
17:00 Ranheim vs Kongsvinger Analysis →