Deportivo Recoleta 0-3 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
0.67/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.90
-40% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 9.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
15.10.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PARK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
0-3
AWAY Club Guarani
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 11
12 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani cruised past Deportivo Recoleta 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Club Guarani found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 58% of the ball to Club Guarani's 42%, shots finished 14-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Recoleta and 1.50 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Guarani?

Deportivo Recoleta 0-3 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Recoleta win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 36%, draw 29%, Club Guarani 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Recoleta), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Recoleta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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