Cerro Porteno 1-2 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.3pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.39/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.22
+16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Club Olimpia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2025 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
27.10.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 3-0 HT 3-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
18.08.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
12.05.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
18.02.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
29.10.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
1-2
AWAY Club Olimpia
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia edged past Cerro Porteno 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 57% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 43%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Olimpia led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.33 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Club Olimpia?

Cerro Porteno 1-2 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 43%, draw 29%, Club Olimpia 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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