Cerro Porteno 1-1 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-11.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+10.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.65/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.27
+12% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
0W-6D-0L
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
18.02.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
29.10.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
13.08.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
14.05.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-2 HT 2-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
05.03.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
1-1
AWAY Club Olimpia
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno and Club Olimpia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 62% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 38%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 6 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.17 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Club Olimpia?

Cerro Porteno 1-1 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 36%, draw 29%, Club Olimpia 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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