Cerro Porteno 1-1 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
2.11/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.37
+29% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.02.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
29.10.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
13.08.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
14.05.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-2 HT 2-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
05.03.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
16.10.2022 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-2 HT 0-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
1-1
AWAY Club Olimpia
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno and Club Olimpia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 62% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 38%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Olimpia led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.33 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Club Olimpia?

Cerro Porteno 1-1 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 45%, draw 29%, Club Olimpia 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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