Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.93/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.13
+76% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.02.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
14.11.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
04.09.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
11.06.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
09.04.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
0-1
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Nacional Asuncion found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 66% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 34%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sportivo Trinidense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 1.00 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?

Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 34%, draw 30%, Nacional Asuncion 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PAR More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
12 May 2024
02:30 Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano Analysis →
23:30 Cerro Porteno vs Club Olimpia Analysis →