Stal Mielec 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.64
Away Pick
57%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.97
Over
52%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.45
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.21
6+
6%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.13
1/2
4%
22.9
1/X
5%
15.6
X/1
8%
9.15
X/2
21%
4.35
X/X
13%
5.31
2/1
1%
35.0
2/2
33%
2.29
2/X
5%
14.15
Value flag · X/2 at 4.35 — our 21% vs market 18.4%. Landed.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Stal Mielec The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa The Market 57%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.87
1.73 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.73
Average Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Great
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.50 xG 1.71
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
274 Passes 383
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
24.02.2024 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
19.08.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 HT 1-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
10.02.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
31.07.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-2 HT 1-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
14.03.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
0 - 2
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.73 xG 1.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 12
239 Passes 380
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 30
REVIEW Stal Mielec vs Rakow Czestochowa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rakow Czestochowa put daylight between themselves and Stal Mielec 2-0 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.

The match data tells the story: Stal Mielec had 42% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 58%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.73 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stal Mielec and 1.33 for Rakow Czestochowa.

Stal Mielec vs Rakow Czestochowa Result & Final Score

Stal Mielec 0 - 2 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Stal Mielec vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 19%, draw 23%, Rakow Czestochowa 57%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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