Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 Stal Mielec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.75
X/1
14%
3.37
X/2
6%
13.6
X/X
10%
5.69
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
5%
11.8
2/X
8%
20.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.8pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.88/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.68
-2% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
19.6 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Stal Mielec
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.65 xG 0.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
353 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
19.08.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 HT 1-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
10.02.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
31.07.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-2 HT 1-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
14.03.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
19.09.2021 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-3 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
1-0
AWAY Stal Mielec
1.75 xG 1.07
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
413 Passes 181
82% Pass Accuracy 62%
35 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Stal Mielec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa squeezed past Stal Mielec 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 64% of the ball to Stal Mielec's 36%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.75 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rakow Czestochowa and 0.50 for Stal Mielec.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Stal Mielec?

Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 Stal Mielec in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Stal Mielec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 60%, draw 24%, Stal Mielec 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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