Puszcza Niepolomice 2-0 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
16.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
8.66
1/2
9%
24.85
1/X
9%
17.35
X/1
13%
10.35
X/2
15%
3.66
X/X
10%
4.99
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.08
2/X
8%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.26/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.03
+16% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
21.4 Crosses 23.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.52 xG 1.12
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
172 Passes 437
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-1 HT 2-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
06.10.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 4-1 HT 2-1 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
2-0
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.99 xG 0.33
31% Ball Possession 69%
17 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
179 Passes 515
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 37
21 Crosses 27
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puszcza Niepolomice vs Lech Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puszcza Niepolomice got the better of Lech Poznan 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lech Poznan at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Puszcza Niepolomice had 31% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 69%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.99 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Puszcza Niepolomice and 2.50 for Lech Poznan.

What was the final score of Puszcza Niepolomice vs Lech Poznan?

Puszcza Niepolomice 2-0 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puszcza Niepolomice vs Lech Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Puszcza Niepolomice 24%, draw 27%, Lech Poznan 49%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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