Academico Viseu 2-1 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.3pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.05/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.48
-26% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses 12.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Portimonense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.87 xG 1.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
187 Passes 281
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 0
21.12.2024 Portimonense Portimonense 1-1 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
15.08.2015 Portimonense Portimonense 1-2 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
17.05.2015 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
11.01.2015 Portimonense Portimonense 4-2 HT 2-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
27.07.2014 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 4-1 HT 2-0 Portimonense Portimonense PRLK
27.04.2014 Portimonense Portimonense 4-0 HT 2-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
2-1
AWAY Portimonense
0.68 xG 2.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
282 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs Portimonense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu nicked a narrow win over Portimonense 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Academico Viseu made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 51% of the ball to Portimonense's 49%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.68 to 2.19 — the balance of chances actually favoured Portimonense.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academico Viseu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Academico Viseu and 1.83 for Portimonense.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Portimonense?

Academico Viseu 2-1 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Portimonense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 39%, draw 28%, Portimonense 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academico Viseu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academico Viseu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
3 May 2025
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