Porto II 0-1 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
37%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.3
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 27% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+9.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
37%
Away Win
50%
-12.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 54%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.39/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.90
+26% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
226 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.3 Crosses 19.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Vizela
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.04 xG 1.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
280 Passes 308
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Vizela Vizela 2-1 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
07.02.2021 Vizela Vizela 0-0 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
19.09.2020 Porto II Porto II 4-1 HT 3-0 Vizela Vizela POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
0-1
AWAY Vizela
1.17 xG 0.94
39% Ball Possession 61%
18 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
222 Passes 364
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela squeezed past Porto II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Vizela made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Porto II had 39% of the ball to Vizela's 61%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.17 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Porto II and 1.00 for Vizela.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Vizela?

Porto II 0-1 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Porto II 35%, draw 28%, Vizela 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vizela) ✓ Under 2.5
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POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
3 May 2025
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