Portimonense 1-1 Academico Viseu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.29/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.53
+29% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.2 Crosses 17.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Academico Viseu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
15.08.2015 Portimonense Portimonense 1-2 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
17.05.2015 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
11.01.2015 Portimonense Portimonense 4-2 HT 2-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
27.07.2014 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 4-1 HT 2-0 Portimonense Portimonense PRLK
27.04.2014 Portimonense Portimonense 4-0 HT 2-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
07.12.2013 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 3-0 HT 2-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
1-1
AWAY Academico Viseu
1.57 xG 0.87
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
281 Passes 187
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Academico Viseu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense and Academico Viseu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Portimonense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Portimonense had 57% of the ball to Academico Viseu's 43%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.57 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academico Viseu led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portimonense and 2.00 for Academico Viseu.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Academico Viseu?

Portimonense 1-1 Academico Viseu in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Academico Viseu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 41%, draw 27%, Academico Viseu 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Portimonense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense) ✓ Under 2.5
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