Chaves vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chaves v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
Chaves vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-2
HT 4-2
Chaves
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Tondela
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Tondela
HAZ
2-0
HT 1-0
Chaves
POR
1-1
HT 1-1
Tondela
POR
2-0
HT 2-0
Chaves
POR
Chaves 2-2 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Chaves and Tondela couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chaves had 55% of the ball to Tondela's 45%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.80 to 2.02.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chaves and 1.83 for Tondela.
What was the final score of Chaves vs Tondela?
Chaves 2-2 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chaves vs Tondela?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chaves 35%, draw 28%, Tondela 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.