Krasnodar 2-1 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
13%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.71
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.8
X/1
16%
3.92
X/2
8%
14.5
X/X
9%
6.62
2/1
10%
22.0
2/2
6%
12.25
2/X
10%
20.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.6pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
2.03/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.49
+9% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -2%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
459 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 68%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.8 Crosses 12.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.36 xG 0.86
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
426 Passes 249
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
02.03.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
30.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-2 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
09.04.2022 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
27.08.2021 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 2-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
25.04.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
2-1
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.77 xG 1.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
214 Passes 236
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar squeezed past Rubin Kazan 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Krasnodar had 46% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 54%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.77 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Krasnodar and 0.33 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Rubin Kazan?

Krasnodar 2-1 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 55%, draw 25%, Rubin Kazan 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5
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