Rubin Kazan 1-1 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.21
6+ Goals
12%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.23
1/2
11%
27.0
1/X
9%
15.1
X/1
10%
7.69
X/2
16%
4.12
X/X
9%
4.34
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.61
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +20%
1.12/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.36
-23% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
14.7 Crosses 13.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Krasnodar
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.69 xG 1.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
282 Passes 426
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
30.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-2 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
09.04.2022 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
27.08.2021 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 2-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
25.04.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
17.10.2020 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-1 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
1-1
AWAY Krasnodar
1.83 xG 2.16
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 5
111 Passes 327
54% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan and Krasnodar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Krasnodar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 34% of the ball to Krasnodar's 66%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.83 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rubin Kazan and 1.67 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Krasnodar?

Rubin Kazan 1-1 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 31%, draw 25%, Krasnodar 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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