Spartak Moskova 4-0 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

Spartak Moskova
4-0 HT 1-0
Akron
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Spartak Moskova vs Akron Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.27
2-3 Goals
47%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.99
6+ Goals
8%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.27 — our 24% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.7
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.8
X/1
18%
3.56
X/2
6%
14.35
X/X
14%
6.71
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
8%
11.2
2/X
8%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.4pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.7pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Moskova v Akron — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.70/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.14
-16% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +101%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
430 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.7 Crosses 17.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Spartak Moskova vs Akron Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Akron
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.04.2023 Akron Akron 2-1 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUSK

Spartak Moskova 4-0 Akron — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
4-0
AWAY Akron
3.28 xG 0.65
74% Ball Possession 26%
23 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
617 Passes 152
89% Pass Accuracy 63%
37 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova swept aside Akron 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 74% of the ball to Akron's 26%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 3.28 to 0.65.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Akron?

Spartak Moskova 4-0 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 54%, draw 27%, Akron 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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