Krylya Sovetov 1-2 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.39
1/2
13%
29.0
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
11%
6.74
X/2
12%
4.42
X/X
13%
4.05
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.98
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.21/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.11
-2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
14.6 Crosses 14.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0W-2D-4L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.02 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
332 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
16.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-2 HT 1-2 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
05.04.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
15.03.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
12.03.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-0 HT 3-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
04.09.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1-2
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.75 xG 0.72
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
449 Passes 365
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova squeezed past Krylya Sovetov 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 55% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 45%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.75 to 0.72 — on chances, Krylya Sovetov could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 2.00 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskova?

Krylya Sovetov 1-2 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 28%, draw 30%, CSKA Moskova 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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