FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

FC Akhmat Grozny
1-2 HT 1-2
Zenit St. Petersburg
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
9.99
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
23.6
1/X
6%
18.45
X/1
7%
12.1
X/2
25%
3.57
X/X
13%
5.59
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.89
2/X
5%
17.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.6 — our 6% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+5.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-8.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Akhmat Grozny v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 66%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
0.94/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.75
+4% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
15.3 Crosses 20.6
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.2

FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.06 xG 2.02
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
234 Passes 599
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 34
7 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.11.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
19.05.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-5 HT 1-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
28.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
20.09.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-3 HT 2-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
25.07.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
05.11.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS

FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1-2
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.90 xG 0.69
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
284 Passes 361
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg edged past FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 46% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 54%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.90 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 2.67 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 22%, draw 25%, Zenit St. Petersburg 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
10 Nov 2024
13:00 Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskova Analysis →
15:15 Spartak Moskova vs Akron Analysis →
19:45 Rubin Kazan vs Krasnodar Analysis →