Slovan Bratislava 4-3 Zilina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
7.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 25% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Bratislava EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Zilina EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.60/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.69
-6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.9 Crosses 11.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Bratislava
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Zilina
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.33 xG 1.23
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 Passes 398
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Zilina Zilina 0-5 HT 0-2 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
07.12.2024 Zilina Zilina 2-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
01.09.2024 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 0-5 HT 0-2 Zilina Zilina SLVK
05.04.2024 Zilina Zilina 0-3 HT 0-1 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
28.02.2024 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1-0 HT 0-0 Zilina Zilina SLOVK
09.02.2024 Zilina Zilina 0-4 HT 0-2 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Bratislava
4-3
AWAY Zilina
2.06 xG 1.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
302 Passes 291
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slovan Bratislava vs Zilina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Bratislava edged past Zilina 4-3. It was 2-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slovan Bratislava as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Slovan Bratislava had 51% of the ball to Zilina's 49%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 2.06 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Bratislava had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Slovan Bratislava and 1.17 for Zilina.

What was the final score of Slovan Bratislava vs Zilina?

Slovan Bratislava 4-3 Zilina in the Slovakia Super League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Bratislava vs Zilina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Bratislava win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Slovan Bratislava 48%, draw 25%, Zilina 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovan Bratislava), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slovan Bratislava) ✓ Over 2.5
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