Zemplin Michalovce 2-4 Skalica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.75
6+ Goals
10%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Skalica EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.38/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.13
+23% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 69%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.3 Crosses 18.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zemplin Michalovce
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Skalica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 1.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
292 Passes 264
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Skalica Skalica 1-0 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
27.10.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 2-1 HT 2-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
27.07.2024 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
20.04.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 1-3 HT 1-1 Skalica Skalica SLVK
30.03.2024 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
09.12.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 1-1 HT 1-1 Skalica Skalica SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zemplin Michalovce
2-4
AWAY Skalica
2.43 xG 1.44
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
500 Passes 169
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zemplin Michalovce vs Skalica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skalica beat Zemplin Michalovce 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zemplin Michalovce at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Zemplin Michalovce had 71% of the ball to Skalica's 29%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.43 to 1.44 — the balance of chances actually favoured Zemplin Michalovce.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Skalica led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zemplin Michalovce and 1.00 for Skalica.

What was the final score of Zemplin Michalovce vs Skalica?

Zemplin Michalovce 2-4 Skalica in the Slovakia Super League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zemplin Michalovce vs Skalica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zemplin Michalovce win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zemplin Michalovce 44%, draw 27%, Skalica 29%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zemplin Michalovce) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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