Podbrezova 2-0 Dunajska Streda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.94
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+6.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunajska Streda EU Bookmakers 48%
-15% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.08/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.98
-61% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
15.2 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Podbrezova
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dunajska Streda
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.07 xG 1.30
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
332 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 1-1 HT 1-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
30.11.2024 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
29.10.2024 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 3-0 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
07.04.2024 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 3-1 HT 3-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
25.02.2024 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
08.10.2023 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 3-2 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbrezova
2-0
AWAY Dunajska Streda
1.32 xG 0.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
184 Passes 324
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Podbrezova vs Dunajska Streda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Podbrezova beat Dunajska Streda 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Podbrezova made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Podbrezova had 38% of the ball to Dunajska Streda's 62%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.32 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunajska Streda led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Podbrezova and 1.67 for Dunajska Streda.

What was the final score of Podbrezova vs Dunajska Streda?

Podbrezova 2-0 Dunajska Streda in the Slovakia Super League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbrezova vs Dunajska Streda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dunajska Streda win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Podbrezova 38%, draw 23%, Dunajska Streda 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dunajska Streda) ✗ Over 2.5
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