ES Tunis 1-0 CS Sfaxien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.28
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
3.59
No
60%
1.24
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
75%
-17.2pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.2pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
24%
+16.3pp
60%
BTTS No
76%
-16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 8%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.06/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.33
+19% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
281 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Tunis
3W-3D-0L
AWAY CS Sfaxien
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
3.13 xG 0.19
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
558 Passes 145
88% Pass Accuracy 61%
41 Box Touches 7
38 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.12.2024 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-1 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
20.06.2024 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
01.05.2024 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN
27.12.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-0 HT 1-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1B
24.09.2023 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-1 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1B
02.08.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien AŞMPL
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis squeezed past CS Sfaxien 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for ES Tunis and 0.17 for CS Sfaxien.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien?

ES Tunis 1-0 CS Sfaxien in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 57%, draw 26%, CS Sfaxien 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN1 More Tunisia - 1st Division
3 May 2025
17:00 Stade Tunisien vs Monastir Analysis →
17:00 ES Metlaoui vs Olympique Beja Analysis →