Richmond Kickers 3-3 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.55/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.49
+26% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
17.3 Crosses 17.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.90 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-1 HT 1-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
19.05.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
24.09.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
14.05.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-2 HT 2-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
26.03.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-1 HT 0-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
16.10.2022 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-1 HT 1-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
3-3
AWAY Greenville Triumph
2.24 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
314 Passes 289
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richmond Kickers and Greenville Triumph shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 52% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 48%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 2.24 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.17 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph?

Richmond Kickers 3-3 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated a Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 39%, draw 27%, Greenville Triumph 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Richmond Kickers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Richmond Kickers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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