Academia Puerto Cabello 1-2 Deportivo Tachira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.91/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.85
+7% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
11.0 Crosses 15.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.10
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
243 Passes 365
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 3-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
29.08.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
09.03.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 0-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
05.11.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-1 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
30.10.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
16.07.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1-2
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
0.46 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
252 Passes 300
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira nicked a narrow win over Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 46% of the ball to Deportivo Tachira's 54%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 0.46 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.00 for Deportivo Tachira.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira?

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-2 Deportivo Tachira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 29%, draw 26%, Deportivo Tachira 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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