Metropolitanos 1-3 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -8%
1.13/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.75
+8% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
21.4 Crosses 20.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Carabobo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 1.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
264 Passes 306
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.02.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 3-0 HT 2-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
23.08.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 2-2 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
06.03.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos CON CSA
01.03.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
06.08.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 2-2 HT 2-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
08.04.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-0 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
1-3
AWAY Carabobo
0.49 xG 2.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
371 Passes 271
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo got the better of Metropolitanos 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Carabobo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 57% of the ball to Carabobo's 43%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.49 to 2.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.00 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Carabobo?

Metropolitanos 1-3 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 33%, draw 31%, Carabobo 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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