Metropolitanos 3-0 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 48%
+14% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.13/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.84
+20% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +51%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
219 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
20.4 Crosses 18.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Carabobo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 0.99
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
234 Passes 323
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.08.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 2-2 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
06.03.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos CON CSA
01.03.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
06.08.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 2-2 HT 2-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
08.04.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-0 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
20.10.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
3-0
AWAY Carabobo
1.13 xG 1.09
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
388 Passes 238
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos swept aside Carabobo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Metropolitanos found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 58% of the ball to Carabobo's 42%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.13 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.00 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Carabobo?

Metropolitanos 3-0 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 32%, draw 28%, Carabobo 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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