Deportivo Tachira 1-0 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.4pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.44/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.92
+0% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +56%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
22.4 Crosses 16.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Caracas FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.06 xG 0.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
268 Passes 272
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.11.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
30.10.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
22.08.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-1 HT 1-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
03.03.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
26.11.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-1 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
13.11.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-1 HT 1-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
1-0
AWAY Caracas FC
1.47 xG 0.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
263 Passes 371
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira nicked a narrow win over Caracas FC 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 43% of the ball to Caracas FC's 57%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.47 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 0.50 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas FC?

Deportivo Tachira 1-0 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 49%, draw 26%, Caracas FC 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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