Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 24 Feb 2025

Academia Puerto Cabello
1-0 HT 1-0
Monagas
📅24/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Venezuela - Premier League – 2025

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Academia Puerto Cabello v Monagas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.44/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.54
-19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
280 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
22.8 Crosses 18.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Monagas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.76 xG 1.02
49% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
230 Passes 231
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
01.04.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
23.07.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
24.04.2023 Monagas Monagas 3-2 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
06.08.2022 Monagas Monagas 0-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
15.04.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 Monagas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1-0
AWAY Monagas
0.84 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
276 Passes 268
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello nicked a narrow win over Monagas 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Academia Puerto Cabello as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 50% of the ball to Monagas's 50%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.84 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.50 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas?

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 44%, draw 28%, Monagas 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
24 Feb 2025
00:00 Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas FC Analysis →
01:45 Metropolitanos vs Carabobo Analysis →