Monagas 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.12/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.95
+3% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
22.7 Crosses 21.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.10 xG 2.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
230 Passes 216
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
23.07.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
24.04.2023 Monagas Monagas 3-2 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
06.08.2022 Monagas Monagas 0-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
15.04.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
2-1
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.77 xG 0.99
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
235 Passes 271
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 22
6 Yellow Cards 9
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas nicked a narrow win over Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monagas as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monagas had 46% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 54%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.77 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Monagas and 1.40 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Monagas 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Monagas 41%, draw 27%, Academia Puerto Cabello 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monagas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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