Carabobo 2-2 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +23%
1.10/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.24
-23% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
18.1 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.62 xG 0.80
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
354 Passes 214
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
7 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.03.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos CON CSA
01.03.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
06.08.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 2-2 HT 2-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
08.04.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-0 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
20.10.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
21.08.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 2-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
2-2
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.74 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
230 Passes 291
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo and Metropolitanos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Carabobo had 46% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 54%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.74 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carabobo and 0.83 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Metropolitanos?

Carabobo 2-2 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 39%, draw 30%, Metropolitanos 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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