Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 23 Aug 2024

Estudiantes De Merida
2-1 HT 2-1
Monagas
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes De Merida vs Monagas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-7.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes De Merida v Monagas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.72/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.27
+38% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
296 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
20.9 Crosses 17.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.4

Estudiantes De Merida vs Monagas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Monagas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.19 xG 1.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
277 Passes 238
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Monagas Monagas 3-2 HT 1-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
19.08.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
19.03.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
02.07.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
21.05.2022 Monagas Monagas 2-2 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
29.11.2021 Monagas Monagas 4-1 HT 3-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN

Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 Monagas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
2-1
AWAY Monagas
2.16 xG 1.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
307 Passes 218
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida squeezed past Monagas 2-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes De Merida found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 55% of the ball to Monagas's 45%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 2.16 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 2.00 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Monagas?

Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 35%, draw 31%, Monagas 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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