Assyriska 3-3 Jarfalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assyriska EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.28/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-26% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +64%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assyriska
3-3
AWAY Jarfalla
42% Ball Possession 58%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Assyriska vs Jarfalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Assyriska and Jarfalla couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Assyriska at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Assyriska had 42% of the ball to Jarfalla's 58%, shots finished 20-7.

What was the final score of Assyriska vs Jarfalla?

Assyriska 3-3 Jarfalla in the Sweden - 1st Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assyriska vs Jarfalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Assyriska win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Assyriska 46%, draw 27%, Jarfalla 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Assyriska), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Assyriska) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ3 More Sweden - 1st Division
3 May 2026
15:00 Stockholm Internazionale vs Sollen Utd Analysis →
16:00 Pitea IF vs Arlanda Analysis →
16:00 Umea FC vs Karlbergs BK Analysis →